North Carolina is Home to a Massively Diverse MAGA Realignment
President Donald Trump won North Carolina this year by 3.2 percentage points after winning the state by a narrow 1.3 points in 2020, with the help of a highly diverse coalition of voters.
North Carolina is on track to become one of the most diverse coalitions of President Trump’s working-class alliance, with the president making strong gains among Black men, Latino women, young people, and independents.
According to CNN exit poll data, Black men more than doubled their support for President Trump, shifting twelve points to the right this year. Eight percent of Black men supported Trump in 2020, but that number rose to 20 percent of Black men this year. That is one out of every five.
One of Trump’s largest gains in Black support came from Anson County, which is nearly half Black. A historically Democrat County, Anson has not supported a Republican candidate since Richard Nixon won it in 1972. Trump flipped the county this year, winning Anson by three points after Biden won it by four points in 2020.
The Latino vote in North Carolina also hints at a stronger and more diverse working-class coalition of Trump supporters. Nearly two-thirds of Latino men (62 percent) supported Trump this year, up slightly from 59 percent in 2020. The real shift occurred among Latino women, who shifted a startling 16 points toward Trump, from 22 percent to 38 percent.
Minority voters, particularly those without a college education, are rapidly becoming new Republican voters. Nationwide, Democrats lost eight points with non-college minorities between 2020 and 2024 and exit poll data shows non-college minorities shifted seven points toward Trump in North Carolina.
North Carolina’s youngest voters also played a crucial role in Trump’s increased margins, with voters 18–24 supporting Trump over Harris by two points this year, 50 percent to 48 percent, after supporting Biden by twelve points in 2020. This works out to a seven-point gain for Trump among young North Carolina voters.
Trump also gained eight points among voters 25–29, going from 36 percent of their vote in 2020 to 44 percent last month. What is also interesting here is that despite Trump gaining among both groups, he outright won 18–24-year-olds by two points, but still lost 25–29-year-olds to Biden. There is increasing evidence that Gen Z voters are more conservative than those a few years older in many states, including North Carolina.
Trump also gained five points with independents in North Carolina, going from losing them to Biden 46 percent to 50 percent in 2020 to winning independents 51 percent to 47 percent this year.
Trump’s inroads in North Carolina among young people and minorities are part of a larger nationwide trend of working-class voters aligning behind the president’s America First message. As we pointed out recently, Harris lost eight points among minorities without a college education this year compared to how Biden performed, and she lost eleven points among young people. Democrats have largely lost the working-class through their political antics, and even the next generation of young voters is deserting them. North Carolina is on track to become ground zero for the new MAGA alignment.
Bill Wilson is the former president of Americans for Limited Government.
Reproduced with permission. Daily Torch – Keeping the light of liberty shining
